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slaaty's User Page
Website: http://walkerw.blogspot.com

Switches in the house

I've gathered all of the House races in one spot with links to further resources.

On your House prediction page you say:

The Democrats start with 5 predicted takeaways & Republicans 2 predicted takeaways.
but if by the 5 predicted Dem takeaways, you mean current Republican ones you're showing as leaners, and the 2 Rep takeaways are Sandlin and Stenholm, then aren't you failing to account for two more in Texas that are just dead takeaways for the Republicans due to redistricting?  

It's tricky because they're not really the same districts, but by CD number 10, 11, & 24 used to be D and will be R, while Stenholm if he loses won't look like a Rep takeaway because the 19th is already in the R column.  

Nonetheless I'm predicting an even better result for the Dems, because this anti-Bush turnout is going to be so huge that the Dems should get several more of the lean R's, and maybe two or three of the favored R's as well, while retaining their own much better.

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